https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gunboat_diplomacy#Modern_contexts
BIG wars on a small planet are a loosing scenario all in all.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brinkmanship#Ronald_Reagan_and_end_of_the_Cold_War
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/nuclear-brinkmanship-in-putins-war-upping-the-ante/
https://www.jstor.org/stable/24758314
https://features.csis.org/Insights-from-the-Russia-Ukraine-War/
https://arcticmilitarytracker.csis.org/
https://thedigitallabyrinth.blogspot.com/search?q=Nuclear+Brinkmanship
war games